Gambler_Fallacy.csv

0,question-ENG,GT,,,,,,,
1,"You are playing a lottery game where there is a special winning ticket in the prize pool. After each draw, the ticket that did not win will be returned to the prize pool. Several rounds of drawing have been conducted, but the special winning ticket has not yet been drawn. Considering the fact that the special winning ticket has not yet been drawn, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of winning the next draw:
Option:
A. Higher than usual
B. Same probability as each previous extraction
C. Below normal",B,,,,,,,
2,"You participated in a football betting activity where you could choose a team to win. A team has won each of the past five games with a one goal advantage. Considering the team's consecutive victories in the past five games, please choose which of the following options correctly describes their probability of winning a greater advantage (such as two or more goals) in the next game:
Option:
A. Higher than usual
B. Below normal
C. Same as previous matches",C,,,,,,,
3,"You are watching a series of guessing competitions in a game show. In this program, each contestant has only two outcomes in a round of guessing: success or failure. You noticed that a contestant has already failed several consecutive rounds. Considering the player's consecutive failures, please choose which of the following options best describes his probability of success in the next round of guessing:
Option:
A. Higher
B. Lower
C. Same",C,,,,,,,
4,"In a long-distance race, a runner failed to take the lead in the past few races. The observer noticed the runner's consecutive failures. Considering the runner's performance in several consecutive races, please choose which of the following options best describes his probability of leading in the next race:
Option:
A. Higher
B. Lower
C. Same",C,,,,,,,
5,"You are watching a basketball game. A player failed all of his previous attempts at shooting. Considering that this player has missed several consecutive shots, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of his next successful shot:
Option:
A. Higher
B. Lower
C. Same",C,,,,,,,
6,"In a board game, a player fails to win any game in consecutive rounds. Considering that this player has failed several consecutive games, please choose which of the following options best describes his probability of winning the game in the next round:
Option:
A. Same
B. Lower
C. Higher",A,,,,,,,
7,"You are dining at a restaurant and have noticed that every time you come here recently, you are told that the dishes you ordered are sold out. Considering your experience during several consecutive visits, when you order the same dish on your next visit, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this dish being available:
Option:
A. Higher
B. Lower
C. Same",C,,,,,,,
8,"In a bookstore, you find that the specific book you want has been sold out on your weekly visits. Considering that you have found that the book has been consistently sold out after multiple visits, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of the book being available on your next visit:
Option:
A. Same
B. Higher
C. Lower",A,,,,,,,
9,"You are watching a competition in the garden of the gardening club, and one of the contestants did not have any plants blooming in the first few rounds of the competition. Considering that this contestant's previous plants did not bloom in several consecutive rounds, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of their next round of plant flowering:
Option:
A. Same
B. Lower
C. Higher",A,,,,,,,
10,"You have been following a TV series and have found that the plot of its recent episodes has been quite plain, without any major climaxes or twists. Considering the dull plot of several consecutive episodes, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of a climax in the following episode:
Option:
A. Higher
B. Lower
C. Same",C,,,,,,,
11,"In an online game, players can draw virtual cards, each with a different rarity level. Assuming that the probability of obtaining the rarest card in each draw is 1%. A player has drawn 99 times but has not yet drawn any rare cards. Considering that the player has not won rare cards in the previous 99 draws, please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of the player winning rare cards in the 100th draw:
Option:
A. Above 1%
B. Less than 1%
C. Equal to 1%",C,,,,,,,
12,"At a horticultural center, a horticulturist has a success rate of 30% in each attempt to cultivate new varieties of flowers. This horticulturist has recently attempted five times to cultivate a rare flower variety, but each time failed to make the flowers survive. Despite the use of various soil and water adjustment strategies, the results were not ideal each time. The frustrated horticulturist believes that the next attempt must be successful because she feels that most of the problems encountered in previous attempts have been resolved. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of success for this horticulturist in their next attempt to cultivate this flower variety:
Option:
A. Above 30%
B. Equal to 30%
C. Less than 30%",B,,,,,,,
13,"In a yoga class, a yogi asks the students if they feel their sense of balance has improved after each class, and the probability of the students improving their sense of balance is about 20%. A frequent participant has not felt any improvement in their sense of balance after four consecutive classes. This student is very optimistic about the next class and believes that there will be a difference this time because they have not improved several times in a row before. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this student feeling an improvement in balance after the next class:
Option:
A. Above 20%
B. Equal to 20%
C. Less than 20%",B,,,,,,,
14,"In a high school basketball team training, a player's success rate for each free throw is about 70%. This player has missed three consecutive free throws in today's training. He felt very frustrated and believed that the next attempt would be successful because he usually wouldn't miss so many times in a row. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of success for this player in their next free throw attempt:
Option:
A. Below 70%
B. Equal to 70%
C. Above 70%",B,,,,,,,
15,"In a library, when a librarian recommends books to readers, the probability of reader satisfaction is 90%. This librarian recently recommended to three different readers, but each time failed to meet their satisfaction. The librarian finds this situation very unusual because usually her recommendations are always welcomed. Therefore, she believes that the next recommendation to readers will definitely be successful, as she has ""exhausted"" the opportunities for failure. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability that the librarian will achieve reader satisfaction in the next book recommendation:
Option:
A. Above 90%
B. Equal to 90%
C. Below 90%",B,,,,,,,
16,"In a laboratory, a scientist conducted a chemical reaction experiment and the probability of successfully synthesizing the target compound is 60%. This scientist has recently conducted five identical experiments, each time failing to successfully synthesize the target compound. He began to doubt whether the experimental conditions were incorrect, but after checking the experimental conditions, it was confirmed that everything was normal. Scientists feel that the probability of success in the next experiment should be higher due to previous consecutive failures. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of the scientist successfully synthesizing the target compound in the next chemical reaction experiment:
Option:
A. Equal to 60%
B. Less than 60%
C. Over 60%",A,,,,,,,
17,"In a software development company, the probability of a programmer successfully submitting and running code for a specific feature for the first time is 75%. This programmer has recently attempted four times to write a complex new feature, but each time there were errors that prevented the code from running successfully. She feels frustrated but also confused because she is usually able to solve problems quickly. Therefore, she believes that her next attempt will have a greater chance of success and believes that she has overcome most common mistakes. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this programmer's code successfully running on the next attempt to write this feature:
Option:
A. Above 75%
B. Equal to 75%
C. Below 75%",B,,,,,,,
18,"At a music school, a piano teacher has an 85% chance that students pass an important music exam each time. Recently, four students of this teacher have taken different music exams in a row, but each student has failed. The teacher reflected on the teaching methods and made some adjustments, but she also believes that due to multiple consecutive failures, the probability of the next student passing the exam should be higher. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this teacher's next student passing the exam:
Option:
A. Above 85%
B. Less than 85%
C. Equal to 85%",C,,,,,,,
19,"At a boutique coffee shop, the probability of a barista successfully producing a special latte and achieving high customer satisfaction is 80%. This barista has recently received some new and more complex latte orders, and in five consecutive attempts, each time failed to fully satisfy the customer. Although there were no obvious technical errors, the barista felt uneasy and began to doubt whether there were any issues with the new coffee beans or equipment. However, all equipment and raw materials showed normal after inspection. The barista believes that after this series of failures, the next production will definitely succeed because he feels that there have been too many failures. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this barista successfully achieving high customer satisfaction in their next special latte production:
Option:
A. Above 80%
B. Below 80%
C. Equal to 80%",C,,,,,,,
20,"In a high-end restaurant, a chef is specifically responsible for making exquisite desserts. The chef has a 65% chance of successfully attracting customer appreciation for the unique desserts on the new dessert menu. Recently, the chef tried a new dessert recipe, but failed to receive widespread praise from customers after five consecutive attempts, with each feedback pointing out different areas for improvement. The chef made multiple adjustments, but none of them achieved the expected results. Nevertheless, the chef remained optimistic and believed that the next attempt would be successful, as he believed that most of the problems had been gradually resolved. Please choose which of the following options best describes the probability of this chef successfully attracting customer appreciation on their next attempt to make this specialty dessert:
Option:
A. Equal to 65%
B. Above 65%
C. Below 65%",A,,,,,,,