Microfilmmaker Magazine - Film Critiques - Final Film Critique: Absentia
Final Film Critique:
Absentia
Director: Mike Flanagan
Expected
Rating: R for language/violence
Distribution: None Yet
Budget: $30000
Genre: Horror/Drama
Running
Time: 91 minutes
Release
Dates: 2011
Website: http://www.mikeflanaganfilm.com
Trailer: Click Here
Review Date: December 1, 2010
Reviewed
By: Joel G. Robertson
Final
Score:
10.0
How
do we critique films? Click
Here To See.
Absentia’s story
is simple enough. Callie (Katie Parker) is a recovering drug addict who visits
her pregnant sister Tricia (Courtney Bell). It’s been seven years since
Tricia’s husband Daniel (Morgan Peter Brown) disappeared and Tricia is battling
her conscience as she prepares to sign his “Death in Absentia” certificate.
Meanwhile, Callie begins to suspect that an ominous narrow tunnel located near
Tricia’s house is connected to Daniel’s disappearance. Strange things begin to
happen as the sisters deal with issues of grief, faith, and the struggle to
make sense out of senseless tragedy.
Callie visits
her sister
Tricia...
...Seven years after Tricia's
husband disappeared.
Content
Let me start by saying that most micro-budget movies usually
suffer from one or more of the following maladies:
Bad
acting
Bad
direction
Bad
lighting/camerawork
Bad
sound
Bad
editing
The one area, however, where every movie, no matter how low
the budget, has the potential to excel is in the writing. Unfortunately, far
too many filmmakers give their scripts short shrift. This is especially true in
a genre I hold near and dear to my heart, horror. You see, far too many
filmmakers think that horror is about shocking an audience, disturbing them,
“rattling their cages”. But what they ‘re missing is that horror is about
ideas, challenging perceptions, showing us a mirror image of our world that has
a jagged crack running right through the center of it.
And it’s through that crack that the nightmares come...
So, how would I describe Absentia?
I think the following adjectives sum it up quite nicely: confident, creepy,
intelligent, mature, and mesmerizing. And despite a couple lighting issues (see
the Visual Look section below), this movie is an example to all
micro-filmmakers of what is possible if you have the talent and drive to tell
an intelligent story using the resources available to you.
I don’t want to give away too much about the story, but I
believe everyone (especially horror fans) owes it to themselves to check it
out. It’s enough to say that the greatness of the script isn’t what’s
explicitly stated or shown, but rather what’s implied. It’s the suggestion of
character relationships and dynamics, allowing the audience to fill in the
gaps. I was reminded of the Swedish vampire film Let the Right One In, which has a similar character-driven tone to Absentia.
Minor Spoilers Ahoy
Take for instance Tricia’s pregnancy. When we first meet her
and learn that her husband went missing seven years ago, the question arises,
“Okay. So, who’s the baby daddy?” Well, through gradual reveals we come to
learn that Detective Ryan Mallory (Dave Levine) is the father. Of course, it’s
assumed pretty early on that he and Tricia are more than just professionally
connected, but Flanagan’s script never spells this out. There are very few
expository scenes where characters prattle on and on about what has happened,
explaining plot points or motivations through dialogue. No, everything is shown
through actions!
The first rule of great directing is great casting. Of
course, many micro-budget filmmakers don’t have access to the talent pool
director Flanagan has (he lives and works in LA). But that’s really just an
excuse. Great talent exists everywhere. You just have to be willing to put the
work into finding it.
Great acting is in the eyes. It’s about an actor
disappearing and becoming consumed by the character. Like editing, sound, and
other elements, acting should be seamless, never distracting, or drawing
attention to itself. It should draw us into the story, not remind us that we’re
watching a movie. If the character is “real,” living the experiences on screen,
then the actor has done his or her job. This describes the acting across the
board in Absentia.
But after a chance encounter
in a tunnel near Tricia's home...
...Something unexpected
rocks
the sisters' world
.
Lead Katie Parker is going to be a star someday. Mark my
words. She has that spark, a rare mix of charm, likeability, and sincerity.
She’s beautiful, but not in an inaccessible way. Her performance was real,
combining toughness and fragility. People are dying for authenticity, and she
has it. I sincerely hope she never loses that quality. Likewise, her co-star
Courtney Bell is a wonderfully talented actress who delivers a fresh,
believable performance as Tricia. She was actually pregnant during the
production, which must have made what was an emotionally demanding role all the
more difficult. The chemistry between the two leads gave credibility to their
relationship; I really believed these two were sisters who had a history
together.
Other honorable mentions are Morgan Peter Brown as Tricia’s
missing husband, Daniel. Despite his limited screen time, his presence is felt
throughout the movie. His character provides the emotional core of Absentia and makes the threat of “the
thing in the walls” seem very real. Dave Levine (Detective Mallory) and Justin Gordon (Detective Lonergan) play what could have been cop clichés, but instead,
created small, real moments that give their characters depth and substance.
And, of course, a real coup for the film (and one of the definite advantages to
being in the City of Angels) was getting notable character actor Doug Jones for
the role of Walter Lambert, a man who disappeared from the neighborhood years
earlier. Jones is probably best known for his roles as Abe Sapien in Hellboy 1 and 2 and as the terrifying
Fauno and Pale Man in Pan's Labyrinth.
He was also in one of the best hours of horror television ever produced, playing
one of the Gentlemen in the “Hush” episode of Buffy the Vampire Slayer. And while Jones is amazing in these
creature roles, his brief, but startling appearance in Absentia proves he needs more roles sans makeup.
I could go on and on about the actors in this movie. Even
actors who appeared in only one or two scenes were memorable and only added to
the richness of the story (I’m specifically thinking of James Flanagan as
Walter’s son Jamie, Scott Graham as Dr. Elliot, and Ian Gregory and Connie
Ventress as Daniel’s parents).
Visual Look
From a technical perspective, Absentia is nearly flawless.
Absentia is
directed with a confident, sure hand and credit has to go to the Director of
Photography (Rustin Cerveny) as well as director, Flanagan. The shot selection
was solid. Unique angles and differing perspectives created a feeling of unease
throughout the film; however, these choices never felt awkward or forced. Solid
camera direction is essential to telling an effective visual story. A
poorly-composed shot or violation of the 180-degree-rule can pull an audience
right out of the story, leaving them feeling disengaged and unsatisfied with
the experience. Absentia, thankfully,
never suffers from this avoidable misstep.
There were, however, a few technical issues (I did say nearly flawless after all). In a few
shots, characters were backlit in a doorway or in front of a large, living room
window, their faces cast in silhouette. This wasn’t horribly distracting; it
just felt like it was more the result of limited lighting (i.e. budgetary
restraints) rather than specific artistic choices. An example of where
violating this backlighting “rule” worked to Absentia’s advantage was when Callie is jogging through that
ominous tunnel. Several shots show her at the far end of the tunnel,
out-of-focus in the background, silhouetted against a blinding white blaze of
daylight. This created an ethereal, otherworldly feel and was perfect for
evoking a sense of the disjointed and alien nature of the tunnel itself.
After a
night of terror...
..Callie must convince
her sister
about the tunnel.
Speaking of the tunnel, it made for a perfect location and
is a great example of writing your script around what you have access to. As I
understand it, director Flanagan came up with the story of Absentia as a way to feature this creepy tunnel, which is located
near his home. Too often, and I’m guilty of this myself, micro-filmmakers don’t
consider what they have access to and can use for free. This is essential if
your film is going to get made.
The only other problem, from a technical perspective that I
noticed was some vignetting around the edges of the frame in a few shots. This
was especially evident in one scene that occurs late into the film. It involved
two characters in Tricia’s house being stalked by the creature (I don’t want to
go into too many specifics for risk of spoiling the film). The scene in
questions was so taut with suspense, well-acted, and perfectly cut together
that, to be perfectly honest, I didn’t even notice the vignetting until my
second viewing.
The special effects in Absentia are understated and never distract from the story. At the end of the day, this
is a monster movie. It reminded me of Guillermo Del Toro’s Mimic in regards to the central creature (although the thing is
never fully revealed). Of course, tonally, the movie has more in common with
Del Toro’s Cronos. Truth is, if
you’re a gorehound, you’re going to be left wanting. But I hope most who read
this, while maybe aficionados of splatter can appreciate a great story, well
told, despite the lack of the red stuff.
Use of Audio
The audio levels were clear and consistent throughout Absentia. Dialogue was never muddy and
all Foley and sound effects were so well integrated into the overall sound
design as to pass unnoticed (as it should be). The musical score by Ryan David
Leack was subtle
and effective at setting the tone; however, it was a little overused for my
tastes. There were several scenes where the music was meant to heighten the
tension, but the actors are so good, I think they could have carried the scene
without assistance.
For example, take the scene between Tricia and Detective
Mallory in the car. He’s trying to convince her of his commitment and the music
felt heavy handed, trying too hard to drive home the emotional importance of
the scene. That being said, I can definitely see how the music was used to
bridge the scene in the car with the suspenseful scene it was juxtaposed with,
so file this criticism under “personal preferences”.
And when the police
search for answers...
...Callie realizes she's
the
only one who can find them.
Use of Budget
The budget for Absentia was raised through crowd funding on Kickstarter.com, a fantastic site for no-
and low-budget filmmakers to raise the funds needed for their projects. The
original budget for Absentia, as
listed on Kickstarter, was $15,000, but after the 30 day funding drive, the
filmmakers had exceeded that amount, raising over $25,000! I highly recommend
going to their Kickstarter page (http://thefivedrive.blogspot.com), reading
their pitch to potential donors, and watching all the promo videos they put
together. The videos are hilarious (nothing is more appealing than truly
talented people who can make fun of themselves) and show what’s possible with a
little imagination and clever selling techniques.
As to how the money was used, I think all the movie’s donors
got their money’s worth. Using a Canon 5D Mark II, Flanagan and his DP,
Cerveny, were able to create a cinematic look using primarily available light.
And while the Canon is able to capture a nice depth of field for that extra
“movie look”, this technique wasn’t overused. Along with the Canon, money was
spent on a camera package that included a 35mm Lens adapter, Steadicam,
Glidecam, and a homemade DSLR rig.
Additionally, a third of the budget went to that most
important of areas—sound. The money was spent on both production and
post-production sound, and it goes without saying (although I’m about to) that
a film can only benefit from great sound. A movie with subpar images (see Paranormal Activity or The Blair Witch Project), but excellent
sound can win over an audience. However, if the reverse is true, and the movie
has great images but crappy sound, you’ll lose your audience every time.
Besides camera and sound, the budget also included location
permits and another important category craft services.
I know, I know. We seem
to drive this point home a lot here at MicroFilmmaker, but that’s because many
of us have either worked on a set where the only available grub included stale
bagels and questionable cream cheese, or made the near-tragic mistake of not
feeding those good folks who so generously gave of their free time to help us
on our projects.
Lasting Appeal
So, will Absentia stand the test of time? Will others want to view it again and again? While
those who really like their horror dripping with goo and spew will be
disappointed, I think anyone who appreciates subtle, creeping, quiet,
character-driven horror will be very satisfied. This movie isn’t just for
horror fans, mind you. No, anyone who appreciates great storytelling, acting,
and that good ‘ol indie-filmmaking spirit will most certainly enjoy it too.
Overall Comment
Absentia is a
creepy, subtle, old-school horror movie, and personally, I loved it. I still
can’t get over how good all the actors were. I was completely drawn into the
story; not just the first time I watched it, but the second time as well. It’s
a slow burn, for sure, but it was refreshing to see a filmmaker show the
maturity, confidence, and restraint that’s on display here. I realize much of
the “restraint” was due to budgetary limitations, but all the choices felt like artistic ones.
While I have yet to watch Flanagan’s earlier works (at least
at the time of this writing), Absentia makes me eager to check them out. All involved deserve high praise for their
contributions to such a fine example of micro-filmmaking excellence!
FULL DISCLOSURE:
Mike Flanagan has written for MicroFilmmaker Magazine in the past. As recently
as last issue as a matter of fact. You can read his “behind-the-scenes” article
on the production of Absentia here.
However, he only began writing for MFM after two of his films were given Best
of Show awards. I was chosen to critique Mike’s latest effort because I had no
previous relationship with him. He paid for a full, impartial critique and
that’s exactly what he received.
Content
10.0
Visual
Look
9.8
Use
of Audio
10.0
Use
of Budget
10.0
Lasting
Appeal
10.0
Overall Score
10.0
How
do we critique films? Click
Here To See.
Joel G. Robertson co-wrote and directed the feature The Whole Town Is Sleeping and has made numerous shorts, including Shadows of the Dead, a winner of Fangoria


Georgian Captain Recounts Somali Hostage Ordeal: 'They Treated Us Mercilessly'
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Georgian Captain Recounts Somali Hostage Ordeal: 'They Treated Us Mercilessly'
January 25, 2012 - 4:40pm, by Marina Vashakmadze and Daisy Sindelar
Georgia
EurasiaNet's Weekly Digest
A EurasiaNet Partner Post from:
RFE/RL
BATUMI, Georgia -- After nearly a year and a half at sea as a hostage held by Somali pirates, Memed Zakaradze is relieved to know his grandchildren in this Georgian port city still recognize him.
"They've grown up in my absence," the 63-year-old Zakaradze says ruefully. "But they still remember me."
In September 2010, Zakaradze was captaining a run-down tanker, the "Olib G," through the perilous Gulf of Aden when his ship was approached by a ship manned by armed Somali pirates.
"We called for patrolling ships," says Zakaradze. "But meanwhile, the vessel approached us and one of the pirates managed to come onboard our ship. As soon as he got on, he started shooting. The others followed suit. They gathered us together on the captain's deck. In five minutes, a military ship and a helicopter arrived, but it was too late already. Nothing could be done."
No Way Out
Held at gunpoint, Zakaradze and his crew members -- 14 Georgians and three Turks -- were forced to turn the "Olib G" around and drop anchor off the Somali coast.
There, the sailors spent the next 16 months enduring searing heat and brutal abuse at the hands of their Somali captors, who demanded $9 million in ransom.
Zakaradze's experience, recounted to RFE/RL's Georgian Service in its "Liberty Diaries" program, provides a rare glimpse into what the captain himself calls the "infernal torment" of life on a pirate ship.
"They treated us very mercilessly, extremely mercilessly," he says. "Kept us chained together like dogs, for eight months. We had no food, no water, and no access to the toilet for 56 hours at a time. Some days were even worse. Once they brought in bottles of urine, poured it over us, then coated us with flour. They left us like that for 24 hours."
Stranded At Sea
Zakaradze had nowhere to turn for help. The Greek company that owned the "Olib G" had gone bankrupt. Repeated calls to the owners went unanswered. And the vessel itself was about to be scrapped, so there was no chance of exchanging the ship for their release.
The case is strikingly similar to that of another Georgian cargo ship, the "Vasilios N," which was stranded for nearly a year in the Libyan port of Misurata when its Greek and Italian owners abandoned the craft and its debts.
As the months went by, Zakaradze says, life on board the "Olib G" became increasingly desperate.
"The [pirates'] lawyer, or translator, would come on board the ship," he says. "Since our efforts to reach the ship's owner had failed, they started asking us to call home and ask our family members to organize rallies, so that our government would [feel compelled to] pay them."
Booming Business
Piracy has become a growing threat in the Gulf of Aden, which is part of the busy Suez canal shipping route linking the Mediterranean Sea with the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean.
Somali groups account for more than half of all piracy attacks worldwide, particularly in the narrow Gulf corridor, which some 21,000 ships pass through each year.
Hostage-taking has become so profitable that many Somali pirates are eager to publicize the suffering of their captives in order to ensure ransom demands are met.
A blurry video released to the media a full year after their capture showed the "Olib G" crew looking gaunt and weary. Zakaradze says now there were many occasions when he and his crew were close to death.
"For 16 months, all we ate was pasta and rice, boiled in salted water," he says. "Our families were more or less aware of our condition, but we kept many things secret from them. For instance, I didn't reveal until I got back what they were doing to me. I was stripped from the waist up and tied to the stern of the ship, forced to stay like this for eight hours under open sky, in 100-degree heat."
"I was the eldest on the ship," Zakaradze adds. "So they probably thought I was going to die and that that would speed things up [with the ransom deal]."
Home, But Still Healing
In the end, the Georgian government intervened, finally securing the release of the Georgian and Turkish "Olib B" sailors this month.
Somali media reported that a $3 million ransom was paid for the men's' release, but Georgian officials deny any money changed hands.
Zakaradze himself says he's not sure what finally brought his crew's torment to an end, but credits his men with never losing hope.
But now, back in Batumi, Zakaradze is grappling with the consequences of his ordeal. His eyesight and hearing are failing and his face looks permanently worn.
Even the winter snow has proven hard to take.
"After the heat of Somalia, Batumi's climate is hard for me," the captain says in a tired voice. "I find it difficult to be in cold weather."
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Updated Figures Show Much Greater U.S. Wind Power Potential
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Energy
|
February 22, 2010
|
by SustainableBusiness.com
Updated Figures Show Much Greater U.S. Wind Power Potential
New figures from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory show that US wind resources are significantly greater than previously estimated.
Onshore US wind resources could generate nearly 37,000,000 gigawatt-hours (GWh) annually, more than nine times current total US electricity consumption, according to analysis by the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA).
The previous national government survey of US wind resources, carried out by the Pacific Northwest Laboratory, estimated US wind potential at 10,777,000 GWh.
Put another way, the potential capacity of America’s onshore wind resource is over 10,000 gigawatts (GW). The US is barely tapping this vast resource: current wind installed capacity is 35 GW in the US and 158 GW world-wide.
These larger estimates are due to improved wind turbine technology, as today’s taller turbines tap better winds at higher elevations (this study measured winds at 80 meters), and to more refined wind measurements.
The new figures ranked the following states as the ten windiest, Texas, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Iowa, Wyoming, Oklahoma, New Mexico.
Indiana, Ohio and Oregon moved up into the list of the top 20 windiest states.
In a single year, the US wind resource potential could produce 364.9 quadrillion btus, the energy equivalent of all proven oil and natural gas reserves in the US as estimated by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). And, of course, as a renewable resource, wind will not be depleted and will continue to provide energy year after year.
"This new analysis confirms that America is blessed with vast wind resources that can energize our economy, create jobs, and avoid carbon for years to come--if we give ourselves the policy tools to do so, including a strong national Renewable Electricity Standard with aggressive, binding near- and long-term targets." AWEA CEO Denise Bode said in a release. "The wind resource is there, vast and inexhaustible, waiting for us. Meanwhile, the economy can’t wait, job creation can’t wait, and America can’t wait. We need Congress to act now and pass a comprehensive climate and energy bill that includes a strong national Renewable Electricity Standard


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BBQ Blog | Dreamland Barbeque
Dreamland Bar-B-que Blog
9/15/11This is a great recipe to have at your next football party!  Dreamland BBQ Chicken Dip2 8oz blocks of reduced fat cream cheese at room temperature2 cups of sharp cheddar cheese1 lb. Dreamland Chopped Chicken6oz Dreamland Dipping SaucePreheat the oven to 350. Mix the chicken, dressing and cream cheese together. It is fine if there are lumps of cream cheese. Pour the mixture in a pan and bake for 15 minutes. Pull out the mixture, stir it well and cover the top with the cheese. Bake for another 10 minutes or until the cheese melts. Serve with chips or crusty french bread.
___________________________________________________________________________________________
5/2/11We have recieved many calls from our friends and we are happy to report that our locations in Tuscaloosa, Northport and Birmingham suffered no damage and are open. Our thoughts and prayers are with all of those affected by Wednesday's storms.
___________________________________________________________________________________________
10/20/10You may be familiar with our Dreamland brand, but you may not be familiar with our history. Dreamland was the dream of
Tuscaloosa, Ala. , native John “Big Daddy” Bishop.  Big Daddy opened Dreamland in 1958 off of highway 82 and Interstate 59 just south of Tuscaloosa in the
Jerusalem
Heights area.   Since that time and to this day, the original store still serves up Dreamland’s legendary ribs.  Our atmosphere gives you a down-home casual feel.  At the original store you will find the décor inside is warm and dark; a dining room with a big bar, booths and a pot-bellied stove; beer signs hanging from the oak beams and Christmas lights that flash all year-round.  The first store to open outside of Tuscaloosa was in
Birmingham, Ala. , in 1993.   The restaurant is nestled in the revitalized Southside neighborhood.  Dreamland’s very presence on Southside has added to the area’s transformation and economic growth.  In addition to the Tuscaloosa and Birmingham stores, you will now find six other locations in Alabama and Georgia.  Our legendary ribs and sauce are on the menu at every location, but you’ll also find the menus have been expanded to include pulled pork, barbecue chicken, hickory smoked sausage, baked beans, coleslaw, potato salad and house salads.  We also served our homemade banana pudding for dessert made with Bud’s Best vanilla wafers.
If you’re not near a Dreamland restaurant, not to worry, because we offer most of our menu items online along with our original Dreamland merchandise.  We deliver anywhere in the United States and some parts of Canada .
We hope you stop by one of our restaurants soon.  You never know who you’ll meet.
Our motto still holds true today “Ain’t Nothing Like ‘Em Nowhere!”
See you soon!
___________________________________________________________________________________________
12/15/10 Heat Up Your WinterWe have seen our share of winter weather this season in the Southeast.  In fact, some places have had record temperatures and snow fall.  With the forecast for more winter temps and weather later in the week, Big Daddy wants to show you how you can heat up your winter with  Dreamland’s Beef and Barley Soup.
1 pound lean stew beef, cut into 1-inch cubes
1/8 teaspoon salt
1/8 teaspoon freshly ground pepper
1 tablespoon vegetable oil
1/2 cup chopped onion
3 celery ribs, sliced
3 carrots, sliced
5 cups low-sodium fat-free beef broth
1 1/2 cups Dreamland Bar-B-Que Sauce
1 cup uncooked quick-cooking barley
Sprinkle beef cubes evenly with salt and pepper. Sauté beef in hot oil over medium-high heat 5 minutes or until tender; drain. Add onion and next 4 ingredients and bring to a boil. Add barley; cover and simmer over low heat 25 to 30 minutes, stirring occasionally. Yield: 4 to 6 servings
Calories 240; Fat 6g (sat 1.6g); Protein 20g; Carbohydrate 26g; Fiber 3.3g; Cholesterol 40mg; Sodium 900mg.
Big Daddy knows that this hearty soup is guaranteed to take the chill off of any winter’s day.
We welcome your feedback.   Make the recipe, give us your feedback at contactus@dreamlandbbq.com
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2/10/10Love Big Daddy Style
Forget roses, European chocolates and candlelight, when it comes to LOVE Big Daddy knows what he’s talking about.    For more than 50 years Big Daddy has been doing what he loves, making customers happy.   With Valentine’s only a few days away, Big Daddy says it’s time to focus on the ones you love in a way that may not seem all that traditional.  But think outside the box for a moment.  If there is one thing that Big Daddy knows is the way to your Valentine’s heart is through the stomach, and he cannot think of any other place to spend Valentine’s day than at Dreamland BBQ.    Dreamland offers a wide-variety of menu choices from our famous Dreamland ribs, to chopped chicken, to chopped pork, to pork quesadillas or our salads.   There is something for everyone.Dreamland has eight locations throughout Alabama and Georgia.  If you can’t make it to one of our restaurants, you can order any of our menu items online at www.dreamlandbbq.com.Make Valentine’s memorable by eating at Dreamland.
Oh and by the way, Big Daddy suggests, if you do make it to one of our locations, during the ride over,  pop Sade, Norah Jones, Usher or Maxwell in your car’s CD player….. Romantic music and Dreamland, what more can you ask for?
___________________________________________________________________________
Let The Good Times Roll!
It doesn’t matter if you’re a Saints fan or Colts fan, Big Daddy says this weekend it’s time to ‘Let the Good Times Roll’ (that’s Laissez Les Bons Temps Rouler for you Saints fans).
Good times and football parties begin with family and friends gathering to watch the game.   At Dreamland we also believe that the good times begin with good food and hearty menu ideas.  Big Daddy recommends the following ‘Good Times’ Dreamland recipes for you party planners.
Saints fans you’ll have them giving you automatic first downs when you serve our Dreamland Red Beans and Rice:
Dreamland Red Beans and Rice2 cans of red kidney beans drained1 can whole peeled tomatoes undrained1 teaspoon olive oil1 small white onion, finely chopped1 small green bell pepper, finely chopped1 tablespoon garlic powder1/2 tablespoon rubbed sage1/2 tablespoon cayenne pepper3 cups long grain white rice1 lb. Dreamland Smoked Sausage, sliced into small piecesPour the oil into a large deep pan.
Sauté the onion, bell pepper and sausage until the vegetables are tender, which takes about 4 minutes. Add the beans, tomatoes with their juice and the spices. Cook until liquid is almost at a boil then reduce heat to medium low and simmer for 20 minutes uncovered. While the food is simmering, prepare the rice. After it simmers for 20 minutes, serve the beans and sausage mixture over the rice.
___________________________________________________________________________________________
BBQ Ribs
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@2010 Dreamland Bar-B-que


Obituaries
Higby Mortuary
Lucile Parker
Lucile Parker, age 94, of Aurora, died Saturday, August 28, 2004, at Memorial Community Care.
Funeral Services will be held 1:00 P.M. Thursday, September 2nd at the Higby-McQuiston Chapel. Rev. James Keyser will officiate.
A Private family burial will follow the service at the Aurora Cemetery.
There will be no visitation.
Memorials may be made to the Memorial Hospital Foundation, 1423 Seventh Street, Aurora, NE
68818.
Condolences may be e-mailed to the family through the mortuary website at higbymortuary.com.
OBITUARY:	LUCILE PARKER
Lucile Margaret Parker, the daughter of Frank L. and Mabel (Cavanaugh) Gleich, was born in Platte, South Dakota on July 7, 1910 and died in Aurora, Nebraska on August 28, 2004, at the age of 94.
She was raised in Gayville and Yankton, South Dakota, where she graduated from high school.
Lucile was united in marriage to Gerald L. (Jerry) Parker on August 17, 1930 at Yankton, South Dakota.
Jerry worked for the J.C. Penney Company, in Yankton, Sioux Falls, and Huron, South Dakota.
He became manager of the Penney's store in Superior, Nebraska and Lucile worked for the Superior Express newspaper.
They lived in Superior for 21 years, where they raised their family.
In 1965, they moved to Aurora and opened "Parkers of Aurora".
In 1973, they retired and moved to Estes Park, Colorado, where they lived for 18 years.
In 1991, they returned to Aurora.
Jerry passed away on October 23, 1997.
Lucile was a member of Aurora Presbyterian United Church of Christ, where over the years she served on many committees.
She was a member of the PEO and DAR, the Memorial Hospital Auxiliary and the Women's Club, both in Superior and Aurora.
She was preceded in death by her parents, her husband, a sister, Marjorie Gordon and a great-granddaughter, Abby McMinn.
Those left to cherish her memory are her three children, Joanne Howard of Edwards, CO and Bonita Springs, FL, David Parker of Lincoln, NE and Dr. Richard Parker of Denver, CO; 9 grandchildren; 21 great-grandchildren and 5 great great-grandchildren.
She is also survived by a sister, Helen Kost of Aurora and a brother, Robert Gleich of Veneta, OR


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CO2 Welding Extension Cable    4 Similar from this Member
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CO2WELDING EXTENSION CABLE is an cable to be installed between Push Wire Feeder and Pull Wire Feeder for CO2 welding in order to extend working range while transferring power and control ...
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Fan Out Patch Cord    23 Similar from this Member
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PLC Splitter Chip
AL Tech Inc. designs, produces and markets the single mode PLC(Planar Lightwave Circuit) splitter chips in one of the world largest fabrication facilities. We are using 8 inch wafer which is much ...
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Optical Coupler
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Embedded Optical Engine (DLP Type : Sulli )    2 Similar from this Member
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Cat 5 Cable ET2525,Cat 5e,RG59,RG6
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Audioquest OPTILINK-5 Optical Fiber Cable Coaxial Cable
Audioquest OPTILINK-5 Optical Fiber Cable Coaxial Cable Audiocale 100% original from Audioquest factory
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Fiber Optic Plate,
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Ceramic Ferrule
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Study of weather changes is constantBy Donal Hickey Monday, February 21, 2011Irish people’s obsession with the weather, and what ‘it’s going to do’, is not
unique.Many of the signs on which traditional weather prediction has always been based
are also talked about in other parts of the world.
Even though the land and climate in both countries are very different, the weather-conscious Irish farmer has, for example, much in common with, say, a fellow farmer in Greece.
For thousands of years before Jean Byrne, or Martin King, came on the television each night to give us scientific forecasts, people looked to the sky, plants, and animals for indications of what the morrow would bring.
Indeed, there’s a striking similarity in the signs on which amateur meteorologists of old, around the world, based their predictions. This is borne out by retired UCC classics lecturer, Dr Patrick Cronin, in a newly-published study spanning 3,000 years.
The scholarly tome sets out the attempts made by the Greeks to predict weather change by naked-eye observation of signs from the sky, unaided by scientific meteorology.
Knowledge of weather lore gained while growing up on a farm in Sliabh Luachra, close to the Cork/Kerry border, was fundamental in Dr Cronin’s later study of how the Greeks went about it. Much of his seminal knowledge was gleaned from his father while they saved hay or worked in the bog together, or while observing the fire on the hearth with his mother.
This is acknowledged in the book’s dedication, which reads: ‘To the memory of my father, who taught me to read the wind.’ In a foreword, TCD Emeritus Professor George Huxley describes Dr Cronin as a scholar by vocation and a countryman at heart.
He has combined his boyhood insights with his knowledge of the Greek language. But his rural upbringing helped him in another way — while the greater part of his research was carried out at his desk and in academic libraries, he could easily identify with the old people he interviewed in the Greek countryside.
It was from farmers, shepherds, and sailors that he learned a deal about Greek weather lore. His book contains a catalogue of
720 signs derived from clouds, comets, dew, frost, mist, moon, winds and many other natural phenomena.
The crucial importance of the weather for agriculture is recognised in an ancient Greek proverb with a universal application — it is the seasons, not the soil, that bear crops. Most of the predictions in Ireland and Greece are based on observation of birds, animals, insects and fish, the sun and the moon.
The Greeks, however, use far more signs from animals and the sky than we do, though some signs are common to both countries. One is that gulls fly in from the sea before a storm, often referred to by people in Cork, Kerry, Donegal and Tipperary. Another is that streaks of light beneath the sun are a sign of bad weather — found in the folk traditions of the Blasket islands, and other areas along the west coast. Dr Cronin grew up in a place with a lyrical name that would have been familiar to the great Gaelic poets, Eoghan Ruadh Ó Suilleabhain and Aogan Ó Rathaille, who hailed from the area. It’s called Magha an tSamhraidh (summer pasture), not far from the Paps Mountains.
People in the area would look towards the Paps, and other mountains, for weather indications from the presence of cloud, clarity of the atmosphere and other observations. Low clouds on the mountains are seen as a sure sign of approaching rain.
Other mountains mentioned by him include Clara and Muisire, in Co Cork, and Cnoc Firinne, near Ballingarry, in Co Limerick. Translated, Cnoc Firinne means hill of truth, believed to be so named because of the accurate weather indications it rendered farmers through the centuries.
The sudden appearance of thousands of ants on a road in Ireland has always been regarded as a portent of rain. The ancient Greeks also used this weather sign. And Dr Cronin believes that faith placed in ants as weather prophets is justified. Ants, he says, have a high sensitivity to atmospheric change and can anticipate rain sooner than man.
Another belief common to Ireland, Greece, and many other countries is that if swallows fly low it is a sign of rain. This sign is reliable, he remarks. Swallows are able to catch insects at high levels in fine weather, but when the atmosphere is very humid, just prior to rain, insects remain near ground level so that swallows descend in pursuit.
Not all the old signs could be trusted, but people all over the world have benefited over millennia from the wisdom of weather lore.
* Greek Popular Meteorology from Antiquity to the Present


Shelley Piasecka | University Of Chester
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Barbara Holliday
Shelley PiaseckaSenior Lecturer
Drama and Theatre Studies
I joined the faculty of Arts and Media in 2011 as a full-time member of Drama and Theatre Studies. Prior to this, I was a senior lecturer at Staffordshire University. I am also an experienced performer in contemporary theatre and combine my teaching with professional practice.
Qualifications
I graduated from MMU (Cheshire) in 2005 with a MA (by Research). I am in the final stages of PhD study, exploring performance pedagogy in the Primary School Curriculum.
Overview My Teaching expertise lies in the interpretation and direction of devised and scripted play texts, interdisciplinary performance practice, Live Art, Post Modern Performance Theory, Theatre Semiotics and play text analysis. For many years I have taken students on residential visits to New York City and performance festivals in the United Kingdom and Europe. I have a research interest in performance theatre, educational drama and performance ethnography.
Shortcuts
Teaching Research Published Work
Teaching
In addition to teaching and research supervision I have directed and curated a number of undergraduate productions. Past work includes:
Ghost Sonata, Strindberg, 2004, Staffordshire
University
Letter 17, Devised performance, 2004, Staffordshire
University
Live Art showcase, 2005, Staffordshire
University
Live Art showcase, 2006, Staffordshire
University
Antigone, Anouilh, 2007, Staffordshire
University
Live Art showcase, 2008, Staffordshire
University
The Last Days of Don Juan, Nick Dear, 2009, Staffordshire University
The Leopard – Site Specific Performance, 2009, Staffordshire
University
Live Art showcase, 2009, Staffordshire
University
The Navvy Way, Site Specific Promenade Performance, 2010, Staffordshire University
The Visit, Dürrenmatt, 2010, Staffordshire University
Live Art showcase, 2010, Staffordshire University
Second to the left and straight on till morning, Site Specific performance, 2011, Staffordshire University
Roses and Morphine, Liz Tomlin, 2011, University of Chester
Research
Professional Practice and Practice-as-Research
Teacher’s TV, 2010, Maverick Television Company, directed by Andrew Fox, series title: School Dilemmas
Robin and the Pirate Letters, 2009, an early readers’ scheme for primary school children.
Heroes and Villains, 2008, a performance project to facilitate the development of socially driven skills for under-privileged children in North Staffordshire.
Sounds, 2009, a performance project to support Key Stage 2 science.
Misguide to Park Road, 2007, – a live art performance with Year 6 children, drawing upon the site-specific work of Wrights and Sites.
The Rise of Robert, 2005, BET4 Artists, Arts Council funded UK Tour.
Secondsands, 2000-2002, BET 4 Performance, UK and European tour. Venues include: The National Review of Live Art, 2001, The Green Room, 2000, Wirksworth Arts Festival, 2000.
Kontakt, La Revolution Francais, I Will You, 2000, 3rd International Festival of Experimental & Performance Art, Manege, St Petersburg Russia. Collaborative project with Simon Piasecki and Glyn Davies Marshall.
Insideoutsidein, 1998, BET4 Performance. Toured across the UK and Western Europe.  Venues include: The Confluence and Municipal galleries, Paris; Turtle Key Arts Centre, London.
Womberang, (Audrey), 1998, The Baggage Factory,
UK Tour.
Shakers Re-Stirred (Carol), 1997,  The Baggage Factory, UK Tour
Cinderella  (Cinderella ), 1997, Tin Box Theatre Company, commissioned for Weston Park, Shropshire.
Aladdin (Aladdin), 1996, Tin Box Theatre Company, commissioned for Weston Park, Shropshire.
O Teatra, 1999 Co-founder and director of childrens’ theatre workshop, Staffordshire.
The Terrace Theatre, 1992-1998, Artistic Director for community theatre workshops in South Staffordshire
Published work
Conferences and Publications
2009 Chair for Postgraduate Student Conference, MMU
2008 Politics and Pedagogy – conference paper presented at Masks: Law and Theatre Conference, the University of British
Columbia, Vancouver,
Canada
2007 Piasecka, M. “Creativity, Live Art and the Primary School Curriculum” in D. Watt and D.Meyer-Dinkgrafe (Ed) Theatres of Thought, Theatre, Performance and Philosophy, Newcastle: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
2006 Live Art and the Primary Curriculum – invited speaker. Research paper presented to the Theatre and Philosophy research group at Aberystwyth University


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Game-Cheat-Codes.Com - Cheat codes for Battle Network Rockman EXE 2
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Cheat Codes for Battle Network Rockman EXE 2
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Battle Network Rockman EXE 2
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Free look at a locked cubeIf you want to just take a look at the purple cube and you have an Unlocker, save the game next to it. Use the Unlocker and if the item is bad, then reset the game.
Element stylesThe Element of the type of chips you use depends on what style you get first. For example, Fire Chips for Fire Element, Water Chips for Water Element, etc.
Shadow Wide SwordIf you have any type of Shadow Chip and already upgraded the charge in your Mega Man profile, equip the Shadow Chip during battle and charge your Blaster while you are in shadow mode. When the charge is ready, release A and you will immediately transport to the enemy panels. The closest enemy to you will be hit with the Shadow Wide Sword, as well as anyone else in a vertical angle. The damage is the same from your Blaster when charged.
Battle BassAfter defeating Planetman, you can fight the real Bass. He has 2000 HP and a Life Aura 1 that will reappear. When you defeat him, you will get his Bass chip.
Transparent Mega ManGo to a panel in Kotobuki, Yumland, or Undernet and slide on the arrow panels. Walk back into the panels. Note: It should not t let you through. This will make two Mega Man bodies appear; if not, just two faces.
Third folderDefeat Shadowman and Freezeman. Then, go to the Mother Computer area. Go to the second mini-computer (the first one you jack into). There will be a girl there that wants a Bigbomb Star. Give one to her and she will give you a Program Advance Folder. Note: It does not contain every Chip for every Program Advance.
Removing panelsWhen you get into a battle and there are panels that move you up and down, wait until the chip selector appears. If Repair is in your deck, use it and it will take away the panels that move you up and down.
Blocking FishysWhenever you fight a Fishy (V1 V2 or V3), use a chip that sets up an obstacle (Remobit, Guardian, etc.) and put it in front of you. The Fishys cannot go through these obstacles. This is useful for buying time to get chips or PA in the exams.
Using SlasherHold A and if an enemy comes in front of you, they will get hit.
Get Sanctuary chip (266)Get all of the five stars and begin hard mode. When you complete hard mode, Sanctuary will be in your original save file (not hard mode).
BodyGaurd Advance Put the following chips in the order shown: Dropdown S, Anti-Navi S, ShadowMan S (V1,V2,V3).
Curse Advance The Curse Advance does quite a lot of damage. You must have CurseShield1, 2, and 3; Code: P, A, or O for all of them. To use any of the CurseShields, you must get hit, then the thing dashes out and bites. The Curse Advance dashes down all three lines, biting.
BigHeart Advance Select, in order, HolyPanel R (from Brush Man), Recover300 R (from having SS or SSS license in Undernet 7), and Roll R (v1,v2,v3).
PoisPhar AdvancePut the following chips in the order shown: PoisMask A,Poisface A, Anubis A.
Subchip plus memoryAfter you defeat Magnet Man, go to Netopia. In first screen (after going out from Arrival Lobby), search a tree in west screen. Talk to the boy and you will get Subchip plus memory.
Zeta Cannon upgrade chipDuring a fight, at any time you get these chips, you will form the Zeta Cannon: Cannon A, Cannon B, Cannon C. Note: You have only five seconds with this cannon -- shoot as many shots as possible. Remember to put them in alphabetical order.
Z-Canon2 ChipSelect Hi-Cannons C D E, DEF, or E F G in that order. This allows you to shoot Hi-Cannons with unlimited ammunition for five seconds at the speed of the X-Buster. This can only be selected in battle.
Z-Canon1 ChipSelect Cannons ABC, B C D, or C D E in that order. This allows you to shoot Cannons with unlimited ammunition for five seconds at the speed of the X-Buster. This can only be selected in battle.
2xHero Chip Advance You must have these chips in this order during a battle for the 2xHero Chip upgrade: Custswrd B, Varswrd B, Protoman B. Note: You must have the same code and have to be in the order shown.
O-Canon1 ChipSelect Cannons A B C D and E in that order. This allows you to shoot Cannons with unlimited ammunition for ten seconds at the speed of the X-Buster. This can only be selected in battle.
Secret chips (251 to 260)To get the ten secret chips, you must have two Gameboy Advances, two Mega Man Battle Network 2 games, and a link cable. Both games must have at least three stars next to their name. If you have four stars, the odds will be higher. Link up the games and go into Network. Save the game when prompted, then choose Netbattle (not Practice Battle). Battle the other person and get an S rank on them. This is done easier if one player allows the other to kill them. You will get a secret chip approximately every twenty battles. The secret chip you get will be random.
Darkness Advance In order to get the strongest attack in the game, you must have these chips in this order: Bass v3 X, AntiNavi X, Fire/Aqua/Elec/Wood Gspl X. Note: It will not work with another Bass because their chip code is F.
O-Canon2 ChipSelect Hi-Cannons C D E F and G in that order. This allows you shoot Hi-Cannons with unlimited ammunition for ten seconds at the speed of the X-Buster. This can only be selected in battle.
Best Chip Trader The best Chip Trader is the one in the ACDC Town Metroline.
Geddon3 chip After you defeat Shadow Man, go to MarinHarbor. From the center building, go down the flight of stairs and look closely at the screen. You should see a blur every few seconds. Walk up and talk to it. A little girl will say, "You found it! You take it". You will receive the Geddon3 chip.
After acquiring the Geddon3 chip, put it in your folder with a Repair Chip (preferably a * code chip). Being that it makes all panels, swap panels (which constantly takes your health away). Use the Repair to fix your panels, leaving your opponents to suffer. Note: Have Repair out when you take out Geddon 3.
Airman Version 3 You can find Airman Version 3 in Den Area 1. He deals around 100 damage for each attack but you can get 500 Zenny if you have a low rankFor about a Busting Lv. 6, you can get another Airman Chip.
Navi Chip codes The code at the bottom of a Navi chip is its name in Japanese. For example, Bass is named Forte and his code is F. Protoman is named Blues and his symbol is B.
SSS license Set either an Invis chip with a * code as your default chip, and make sure you have the chip ZeusHamr. In most of the battles, this will kill all the enemies. It can break through Guard; it even works on Hardheads. Note: Make sure that if there is a Cloudy or a Flappy that you do not use ZeusHamr until after they land or else it will not hit them.
Getting free Navi chips You can get Navi chips in the slot in Netopia near the Hotel and Bank. Choose ten chips in the slot and get a new Navi chip back free. Sometimes you can even get Version 2 Chips. Note: A Navi chip does not appear every time.
Defeat Freezeman, then go to ACDCtown. There will be a chip trader by the posters. You will get all the Navi chips except Bass and a few other that you can get only in the WWW area.
Black Navi locations Black Navi 1: Underkoto Black Navi 2: Undernet area 6 Black Navi 3: Netarea 2 Black Navi 4: Yumland area 2
Easy S-busting level A very good way to get an S busting level is to use Advances. It seems necessary for some Bosses such as Bass. Some good ones are: Life Srd 3 (line up Elec, Heat, and aqua Blades. Buy them or get them from Green Mystery Data in WWW area 1); Arrows (Double, Triple, and Quad Needle); and Ultra bomb (Lil, Cros, and Big Bombs).
SS licenseAfter you get the S license, "Delete Gospel", and "Star ID", go through the Undernet to where the laser grid with the "?" on it was located. Check it and it will open. The portal will then take you directly to the WWW area 1. Go through with your S license in hand, but be careful. Once you are inside the WWW you cannot jack out. Once through, you will see many new enemies and some are very difficult to kill. Just run from or kill them and use Full-Enrgs. Go as far as you can through WWW in area 1. Do not go into area 2, no matter what. You will find a cube requiring an S license to open. There are still more obstacles, Before going through the portal there, you will encounter three Protecto1s. To delete these you will have to do 200 damage to all of them at once. Once they are gone, go through the portal and unlock the "Mystery Data". It is army data. Jack out at this point and save the game. Jack back in again and go to the License Examiner. You can now take the test.
Extra Damage from Airman Chip Go to the front and if an enemy is in the front rank also, use the Airman chip to do double the damage.
Gamecube logoAfter defeating Shadowman, reenter the main mother computer. Go to the back of the computer. Stand in front of the "mother computer main server", where Shadowman was standing before you fought him. Slowly go to Megaman's right. Upon a stack of cubes with purple, squiggly lines on them will be the Gamecube logo.
Easy Zenny From where you are presently, keep walking around and battle a lot of enemies. If you are in Ms. Million's bag, you can get about 400 Zenny in each battle. You can also get 10,000 Zenny from doing the love letter job and from Ms. Millions.
In the Undernet 5 are three Green Mystery Datas. Save in front of them, then move the pointer in one direction to receive 100 Zenny, a virus, or 50,000 Zenny in each one of the three Green Mystery Datas.
Make sure you have Untrap. Go to Undernet 5. There will be three mystery program data. Use the Sub-chip Untrap and walk up to one of the mystery data. Unlock it. It will more than likely say "You got 100 Zenny!". Find the other one. It will usually have the same message. Find the last one. It will say "You got 50,000 Zenny!". Then, jack out and do it again. You can only do this a total of seven times; save it for when you need it.
Strongest ComboAt the Battle with etheir the Opponent are Virus or Navi, put a Battle Chip "Prism" right in middle of the Opponent`s Field. Then throw a "Forest Bomb" to the Prism on the opponent`s field.
WWW areaSuccessfully complete the game to unlock the WWW area. Go to Ula Internet area 4 and look for a glowing red warp. Enter it to access the WWW


ALLELE 4 OF MHC CLASS I CHAIN RELATED GENE A INCREASES THE RISK IN LATVIAN PATIENTS WITH JUVENILE RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS
ALLELE 4 OF MHC CLASS I CHAIN RELATED GENE
A INCREASES THE RISK IN Latvian PATIENTS WITH Juvenile Rheumatoid arthritis.
CB Sanjeevi, Ija Cimdina, A Shtauvere, M
Ghaderi, I Rumba. Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Children Hospital of
Riga, Sweden and Latvia.
Juvenile Rheumatoid arthritis (JRA) is a heterogeneous
disease consisting of several clinical subgroups. It is an autoimmune disease
associated with the HLA class II genes. It is negatively associated with
HLA-DR1-DQ5 in Latvians. DR1-DQ5 was also decreased in seronegative patients
compared to seropositive patients in Latvian JRA. In addition to HLA, we
looked for an additional second susceptibility loci for JRA in Major Histocompatibility
Class III region. MICA gene is located in the MHC class III region and
is expressed by monocytes, keratinocytes and endothelial cells. Sequence
determination of MICA gene identifies trinucleotide repeat (GCT) microsatellite
polymorphism, which identifies 5 alleles with 4,5,6 and 9 repetitions of
GCT or 5 repetitions of GCT with 1 additional nucleotide insertion (GGCT).
The alleles are A4, A5, A5.1 , A6 and A9. The aim of our study was to find
the association of MICA alleles with JRA patients (n=119) and healthy controls
(n=108) from Latvia. The samples were analysed for MICA by PCR amplification
and fragment sizes were determined in ABI prism DNA sequencer. HLA-DQ was
genotyped by PCR-SSO.
Allele 4 was significantly increased in patients
(40/119, 34%) compared to controls (19/108, 17%)(OR=2.37, p<0.01, Pc<0.05).
4/5.1 genotype was also significantly increased in JRA patients (22/119,
18%) compared to 7/108 (6%) controls (OR=3.27, p<0.01, Pc<0.05).
5/5.1 genotype was decreased in JRA patients (4/119, 3%) compared to 13/108
(12%) controls (OR=0.25, p<0.01, Pc=ns).
In conclusion, allele A4 of MICA is increased in
JRA patients compared to healthy controls and 4/5.1 genotype also increased
in Latvian patients with JRA. Our findings suggest that MICA may play an
important role in the etiopathogenesis of IDDM


This ‘Psychic’ Metal is Predicting a Christmas Rally
| Dominic Frisby | FINANCIAL SENSE
FINANCIAL SENSE
01 March 2012
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This ‘Psychic’ Metal is Predicting a Christmas Rally
By Dominic Frisby11/09/2011
Print
They call it 'Dr Copper' - the metal with a PhD in economics - because of its forecasting ability.It turned up in 2003 as the world recovered from the dotcom crash. It peaked in 2008, shortly before the stock market crash, and it rebounded in 2009.Sounds great. But in fact, if you look at it, copper actually rises and falls with general market sentiment. It's more of a barometer than forecaster.A far better forecaster would be a metal that moves before the event, a metal that peaks or troughs early – in late 2006, early 2007, say, or in 2010.Such a metal exists. It's copper's less widely discussed, less glamorous industrial cousin: zinc.So what can it tell us about today's market? And what's the best way to play it?Zinc isn't glamorous or world-savingUnlike uranium, rare earth metals, or even gold and silver, zinc is not a metal that is going to save the world. It's not the answer to looming energy, technical or monetary problems.Its main use (over 50%) is in galvanising, to prevent rust. Zinc is very reactive, so a quick coat of zinc on your iron or steel will attract all the oxidisation and protect the metal beneath. It's also used extensively in alloys (brass and bronze in particular) and compounds. You'll find zinc in a huge range of applications, from communication equipment to coins to cars to piping to bearings to water valves.It's widely used (only iron ore, copper and aluminium are more heavily used). But there's no huge deficit between global zinc supply and demand to get excited about – there's lots of it and when demand grows, production can be increased too.Identified worldwide resources are estimated at just below the two billion tonne mark. The largest deposits are in Canada, the US, Australia and Iran. Annual global production stands at around 12 million tonnes, 70% of which comes from mining and 30% from recycling.According to recent data made available to the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG), world demand exceeded supply by 223,000 tonnes in 2011, in the year to date. World stock levels increased by 201,000 tonnes, although London Metal Exchange stockpiles (along with those of all base metals, interestingly) have been declining since the summer.From the same data, we see world zinc production rose by 14.5%; apparent Chinese demand increased by 14.9% and world usage by 16.7%.A history of the zinc priceAs for the zinc price, it is trading in a fairly tight range. Its year high was just above $1.1/lb in February and its low, in October, was $0.80/lb.Here we see a long-term chart of zinc since 1989. It fell from about $0.90/lb in the late '80s to $0.40/lb in 1993, then spent the rest of the decade mired in a tight range between $0.40 and $0.55 or so, with one brief spike above that level.After the dotcom crash, it sunk even below $0.40/lb until 2003 when it began to creep up – in line with general market sentiment.But then in 2004-5 it broke out above that multi-year $0.50/lb or so cap and within two years quadrupled. In late 2006 it broke above $2/lb. Insane stuff. If ever there is a chart that reflects the bubble of credit and speculative excess the world got itself into in that period, it's this one.Then the zinc price began falling – ahead of the markets – and quickly returned to $0.50/lb break-out point, giving back all of the gains of the previous two or three years.We then got the proverbial 'dead cat bounce', which petered out at $1.20 in 2010. We have been stuck in a range ever since, between there and $0.80 on the downside. This month it has turned back up.Professor Zinc's psychic powersI would say Professor Zinc better reflects the real global state of things than the Dr Copper. In July 2008 copper was making new highs (with oil), when zinc had long-since turned down, and the credit crunch was in full flight.In early 2011, copper made new highs again, above 2006 and 2007 levels – when the real economy was in a more parlous state. Here's a chart of copper over that period. To me, it is less a reflection of the economy and more a reflection of the speculative excess at the extreme end of finance.So what is zinc telling us now?It has turned up, and I see some buying coming back into the junior mining end of markets, so perhaps we can expect this rally to continue until Christmas and even into the New Year.But there are plenty of problems lurking on the sidelines, as we all know, so I would be ready to jump ship should they rear their ugly heads again. And I'll be watching closely to see if the zinc price provides an early warning of the next downturn.If you wanted to trade zinc, ETF Securities offers a zinc ETF (LSE: ZINC). But I can't see the point. I don't see huge price rises in zinc itself coming. The top large-cap zinc-producing companies include Xstrata, OZ Minerals, Teck Cominco and Glencore, all of which may be ripe for a rally to early next year.However, the small-caps offer more growth potential. One suggestion for a small-cap, pure play on zinc is the former golden boy ZincOx resources (Aim: ZOX), a company whose management I like.I should also mention Toronto Venture Exchange-listed Vena Resources (TSX: VEM), a company I have mentioned here before. It is bringing a zinc mine into production in Peru and, according to reports, it has made good progress. Vena has been hammered this year for two reasons.First, there was a lot of (probably misplaced) risk perceived about the new Peruvian government being mining unfriendly. Second, Vena is also exploring large uranium deposits and the market fell horribly out of love with uranium after Fukushima. But below C$0.20c Vena offers potential value and growth (I hold the stock myself).My latest gold report is now available – as well as looking at ways to buy gold itself, I’ve also tipped some speculative mining stocks that I think are poised to do very well in the coming years, and provided some updates on my previous tips. Get your copy of my gold report here.This article first appeared in Money Morning, the free daily investment email from UK investment magazine, Moneyweek. Sign up here - it's free.
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About Dominic Frisby
Dominic Frisby
Frisby's Bulls And Bears http://www.dominicfrisby.net
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